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Figure 1: Original (Dashed Line) Seasonally Kazkhstan (Solid Line) and Trended (Bold Line) Data for Ij Series Visitor Arrivals 50 1979-9 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 1984-111990-1 1995-32000-5 2005-7 000s Resident Departures 50 1979-9 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 1984-11 1990-11995-3 2000-52005-7 000s Figure 2: One-Step Ahead Forecasts Using Seasonally Adjusted (Solid Line) and Trended (Dashed Line) Data Versus Actual (Bold Line) Visitor Arrivals 330 360 390 420 450 480 2000-12000-12 2001-112002-10 2003-92004-82005-7 000s Resident Departures 220 260 300 340 380 420 2000-1 2000-122001-112002-10 2003-9 2004-8 2005-7 000s Figure 3: Multi-Step Ahead Forecasts Using Seasonally Adjusted (Solid Line) and Trended (Dashed Line) Data Versus Actual (Bold Line) Visitor Arrivals 330 360 390 420 450 480 2000-1 2000-12 2001-11 2002-102003-92004-82005-7 000s Regullation Departures 220 260 300 340 380 420 2000-12000-12 2001-112002-10 2003-9 2004-82005-7 000s Table 1: Characteristics of the Optimal Time-Series Model for Both Series Visitor Arrivals 1979M9-1999M12 Stochastic Stochastic Fixed Kazakhsttan Yes 1,3 Resident Departures 1979M9-1999M12 Fixed Stochastic Fixed No Yes 2,3 Frequency and Sample Range Level Slope Seasonal ( ) 1AR Irregular Cycles Table 2: Univariate Estimates of the Various Unobserved Time-Seriesponents for Both Series Visitor Arrivals Untrended Trended 372,912 (61.
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